World Cup 2026 Simulator

Set the results group by group and watch the whole tournament move. Whatever you leave blank is drawn with the model (Elo + market). Full Monte Carlo (groups → best thirds → bracket to the final) running in your browser, tournaments per recalculation.

Results by group

Blank = random. The tournament recalculates automatically.

Title favorites

TeamSemisFinal ChampionΔ

P(champion) in the gold bar. Δ vs. base scenario (all random).

Qualifies to the Round of 32 — Group

Team AdvancesΔ

1st/2nd = direct qualification. 3rd = odds of going through as one of the 8 best third-placed teams. Advances = total to the Round of 32 (1st + 2nd + 3rd).